Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.471419 0.603942 0.747243 0.911757 1.093625 1.286970 1.506567
2025-03-30 0.274772 0.447013 0.653829 0.910548 1.212431 1.549424 1.947951
2025-04-06 0.170124 0.348461 0.583055 0.891846 1.270410 1.706026 2.233460
2025-04-13 0.120647 0.306795 0.571511 0.935763 1.395534 1.935353 2.598838
2025-04-20 0.086746 0.276236 0.566370 0.981023 1.516840 2.155813 2.950085
2025-04-27 0.063646 0.255285 0.569647 1.033624 1.644643 2.382227 3.307042
2025-05-04 0.052592 0.252787 0.597882 1.118272 1.811969 2.655784 3.719468
2025-05-11 0.037942 0.236639 0.602211 1.168141 1.933483 2.872745 4.064027
2025-05-18 0.021841 0.207318 0.581144 1.179522 2.003111 3.024629 4.329623
2025-05-25 0.005669 0.155719 0.514032 1.119095 1.974306 3.051634 4.442253
2025-06-01 0.000046 0.110918 0.448197 1.053713 1.934059 3.060778 4.530273
2025-06-08 NaN 0.084347 0.410264 1.026461 1.942429 3.128939 4.688366
2025-06-15 NaN 0.072683 0.403676 1.051513 2.028147 3.302690 4.985693
2025-06-22 NaN 0.057171 0.384020 1.054105 2.082539 3.437199 5.236359
2025-06-29 NaN 0.039865 0.352282 1.032834 2.100538 3.522604 5.424171
2025-07-06 NaN 0.036928 0.360699 1.080545 2.217895 3.738020 5.775022
2025-07-13 NaN 0.034460 0.369804 1.129252 2.336659 3.955348 6.128431
2025-07-20 NaN 0.033426 0.383359 1.185881 2.467102 4.188241 6.501692
2025-07-27 NaN 0.037659 0.415782 1.276770 2.648084 4.488133 6.959702
2025-08-03 NaN 0.036133 0.427494 1.330218 2.774138 4.715622 7.326684
2025-08-10 NaN 0.029048 0.416849 1.342404 2.839121 4.862213 7.591602
2025-08-17 NaN 0.014812 0.366452 1.277654 2.788011 4.853378 7.658984
2025-08-24 NaN 0.005163 0.316322 1.207469 2.725295 4.826685 7.701795